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Guest Post: Defending the IBSA Model

In an article for Americas Quarterly, Daniel Kurtz-Phelan explains why the trilateral IBSA model is likely to survive despite expectations on its future failure.

 

 

In 2003, Brazil’s President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva found himself with his counterparts from India and South Africa on the sidelines of a G-8 Summit in France. They had been invited to the summit as observers but the invitation served mostly to underscore a common frustration. “What is the use of being invited for dessert at the banquet of the powerful?” as Lula later put it. “We do not want to participate only to eat the dessert; we want to eat the main course, dessert and then coffee.”

This coming June, the leaders of the three countries will meet in New Delhi to mark the 10th anniversary of the IBSA Dialogue Forum (for India, Brazil and South Africa), a group created to address that frustration years before the Brics had become anything more than a catchy acronym. In 10 years of existence, IBSA has spawned dozens of MOUs and working groups, launched joint development projects and diplomatic missions, made the expected grand proclamations about a new global order, and gotten its leaders and foreign ministers together at more or less regular intervals (no small accomplishment).

But the New Delhi summit is unlikely to generate the kind of effusive headlines that attended last month’s meeting of the Brics in Durban. If anything, most observers seem to expect that – given the overlapping membership and the economic and geopolitical weight brought by China and Russia – the Brics will eventually make IBSA just one more failed multinational body on the ash heap of history.

Yet, as I argue in a forthcoming issue of Americas Quarterly, there is plenty of reason why IBSA is likely to survive – and may have more staying power, even without the heft. For one thing, its members see real value in a grouping that provides some distance from the behemoth of the Brics. Chinese commercial and investment practices have become domestic political issues in all three countries. India has regional tensions with China....

Read the full article here.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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