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Poll Tracker: The Latino Vote in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election

By Chase Harrison and Khalea Robertson

Hispanic voters—concerned about the economy and immigration—are deciding between Harris and Trump. Which way do they lean?

The next president of the United States will be no stranger to the White House, as former President Donald Trump and current Vice President Kamala Harris face off on November 5. Voters will also elect all members of the House of Representatives, a third of the Senate, and other state and local offices.

Over 36 million Latinos are eligible to participate in this vote, representing 15 percent of eligible voters. A diverse demographic with the second-fastest growth rate among voting blocs, Latinos may prove crucial in deciding presidential and legislative races in several states, especially large states like California, Florida, and Texas, as well as swing states, such as Arizona and Nevada.

Historically, Latinos tend to vote Democrat. In the 2020 presidential election, Joe Biden won 59 percent of the Latino vote, within the average of the typical Democratic margin—despite evidence that some geographic pockets of Latinos are swaying toward Republicans.

There are other ways this bloc stands apart. Some 31 percent of eligible Latino voters are between the ages of 18 and 29, compared with 20 percent of the national electorate. A November 2023 poll projected that 22 percent of Latinos would be first-time voters. Overall, the size of the electorate has grown 153 percent since the 2000 election.

AS/COA Online has pulled together some facts and figures to help understand the Latino vote in the 2024 election.

This poll tracker was originally published on August 21, 2024 and has since been updated. 

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