2014 Bogota Blog: Conference Roundup
Experts highlighted how far Colombia's economy has come, as well as its potential for further growth.
AS/COA's annual Bogota conference examined how far Colombia's economy has come, as well as its potential for further growth.
Opening Remarks
- Mauricio Cárdenas, Minister of Finance (View his presentation)
- Ragnhild Melzi, Senior Director, Public Policy Programs and Corporate Relations, Americas Society and Council of the Americas
AS/COA Public Policy Programs and Corporate Relations Senior Director Ragnhild Melzi opened the conference, noting that infrastructure and unemployment represent some of Colombia's economic challenges. Finance Minister Mauricio Cárdenas highlighted Colombia's advances, noting that 2.5 million jobs were created in last four years and that GDP per capita stands at $8,300. Inflation is under 3 percent and average growth stands at around 5 percent, he added.
#Colombia Fin Min: Peace in Colombia would add 1pct to GDP growth and take GDP per cap to Portugal's levels in a decade. Realistic? @ASCOA
— Raúl Gallegos (@raulegallegos) June 11, 2014
Colombia is working to become a member of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, and if it were a member now, it would be number one in growth, said Cárdenas. Plus, Colombia is working to tackle a longstanding challenge: unemployment. Formal unemployment is on the rise, Cárdenas showed in his presentation.
Más empleo de calidad. Principal objetivo de la política económica. pic.twitter.com/9pa0UNEosr
— Ministro Hacienda CO (@MauricioCard) June 11, 2014
Monetary Standards and Prospects for Colombia
- Leonardo Villar, Executive Director of Fedesarrollo
Fedesarrollo Leandro Villar outlined Colombia's economy in comparison to other developing markets. First, he explained that Latin America is expected to grow 2.5 percent this year, compared to 5.4 percent in India and 7.5 percent in China. Colombia is expected to grow this year, while other Latin American countries may decelerate. Moreover, Colombia is improving employment, creating nearly 1 million jobs a year. The industrial sector is improving, though non-traditional exports are down in part because of the Venezuelan crisis. Overall, exports have been stagnant since last year.
He also pointed to another important trend: the Colombian peso is appreciating, due in part to greater credibility in the economy and foreign investment.
'La reciente apreciación del peso se debe a la mayor credibilidad de la economía colombiana'': Leonardo Villar @Fedesarrollo
— MinHacienda (@MinHacienda) June 11, 2014
Watch the video of Cárdenas and Villar's remarks.
Macro-Financial Overview of Colombia 2014-2018
- Sergio Clavijo, President of ANIF
ANIF President Sergio Clavijo focused on growth and trade, noting that so far this year, exports fell nearly 7 percent. Currently, around 76 percent of Colombian exports are commodities. Colombia will grow more than Brazil this year, he explained, while Latin American growth is expected to be mediocre. Some of the industries expected to push the estimated 4.6 percent growth rate in Colombia are construction (to grow 8 percent) and mining (to expand 6.5 percent).
He also spoke about the solidity of the country's financial sector.
Colombia tiene un Sector financiero sólido que está limpiando su capital, adaptandose a #Basilea3. A Clavijo @ANIFCO #COLWallSt
— Ernesto CaicedoNeira (@ernecaic) June 11, 2014
"Colombia isn't contaminated yet by the deceleration of emerging economies," he said.
Panel: Advancing Key FTAs in Colombia
- Javier Diaz, President, Analdex
- Laura Lochman, Economic Advisor, Embassy of the United States, Colombia
- Miriam Garcia Ferrer, Commercial Counsellor, European Union Delegation in Colombia
- Sergio Clavijo, President of ANIF (moderator)
Clavijo opened the panel on free-trade agreements (FTAs), giving an overview of Colombia's trade scenario. In the last year, Colombia's top traditional export destinations were the United States, China, India, Panama, and Spain. Colombia's number one export to the United States is oil, which makes up nearly 70 percent of exports to the North American country. Meanwhile, oil accounts for about 87 percent of Colombia's exports to China. Exports and imports make up around 36 percent of Colombia’s GDP, and that number has remained stable in last few years. Finally, he explained that FTAs are important for Colombia so that they help "level the playing field."
Analdex's Javier Díaz spoke about the U.S.-Colombia trade relationship, noting the Andean country has nearly 10,000 companies that export. Despite the bilateral FTA, Colombian exports to the United States fell 7.5 percent last year, while U.S. imports rose 26 percent. However, coffee and flower exports to the United States are on the rise. Colombia's challenge, he said, is to integrate itself into global supply chains.
U.S. Embassy Economic Advisor Laura Lochman spoke about the outcome of the bilateral trade agreement, saying it could take years to show results. Nevertheless, progress is already taking place: in Colombia, over 1,600 new companies exported to the United States within the first 20 months of the FTA, and 350 new products were sent to the United States in that period.
Commercial Counselor of the EU Delegation in Colombia Miriam Garcia Ferrer spoke about Colombia's trade relationship with the EU. Oil by-products make up over 75 percent of Colombian exports to the EU, and preliminary results from the FTA with Colombia show that Colombian exports rose around 14 percent, while EU imports to Colombia went up by the same amount. She explained that this accord creates opportunities for services as well as traditional products. Plus, without the FTA, the EU would not have started the process of eliminating tourist visas for Colombians, she added.
Colombia’s Trade Agenda: Achievements and Challenges
- Santiago Rojas, Minister of Trade, Industry and Tourism
Colombian Trade, Industry, and Tourism Minister Santiago Rojas shared insights into Colombia's trade strategy. Through FTAs, Colombia has opened markets to nearly 1.5 billion consumers. Nevetheless, it needs to diversify its exports and destination markets, he said. The government is committed to entrepreneurship as a part of expanding trade, and modernization, innovation, and human capital are essential to Colombia's trade strategy. So is infrastructure: to improve competitiveness and trade, $27 billion is being invested in roads, ports, and the like.
Colombia's economic model has helped boost growth, reduce poverty, and provide quality employment, he said.
MinCIT clausura seminario @ANIFCO Modelo económico ha llevado a crecimiento, reducción de pobreza y empleo de calidad pic.twitter.com/mF04IXesfx
— MinCIT Colombia (@MincomercioCo) June 11, 2014