Poll Tracker: Ecuador's 2025 Presidential Runoff

On April 13, Ecuadorans will have a second chance to decide between Daniel Noboa or Luisa González as their next president. The incumbent President Noboa and González, a lawyer and former assemblywoman, were the top two finishers in February’s first-round election, each earning around 44 percent of the vote share to stave off 14 other contenders.

The first round was tighter than expected, with Noboa winning just about 16,800 votes more than González. González has since secured an alliance with Pachakutik, an indigenous party led by Leonidas Iza, who placed third in the first round with the support of around 538,000 voters. The turnout was 83 percent of approximately 13.8 million eligible voters.

This April’s runoff is a rematch of the 2023 election. Two years ago, Noboa, a first-time legislator and the son of Ecuador’s wealthiest man, was a surprise finalist and defeated González, a politician viewed as the protégée of former President Rafael Correa (2007–2017), within whose administration she held various roles.

Noboa is currently completing the term of former President Guillermo Lasso (2021–2023), who triggered snap elections in May 2023 when he dissolved the National Assembly in order to avoid impending impeachment proceedings. This year, as in the previous election, violence and insecurity continue to be a priority concern among voters, alongside issues like unemployment and economic worries.

Will voters grant the incumbent Noboa a full term to implement his policy program? Or elect a woman president for the first time and return to correísmo? AS/COA Online compiles major polls on voter intentions and opinions on the candidates and key issues.